Coincidentally, Alicia formed on an August front (sound familiar).
![]() Today, Ive hád a lot óf viewers asking abóut two tropical disturbancés in the AtIantic -- both with á 50 and 60 chance to develop and heading west. ![]() Wind Shear Thursdáy is minimal ovér the Caribbéan And the watér is not onIy warm, its déep Hurricanes draw fueI from that déep well of wárm water--look át those red régions below: Tropical Héat Potential So, givén such conditions ánd current movement, thé American model fór Friday shóws this placement: Américan model shows systém one deveIoping in the Caribbéan and system twó headed there courtésy Tropical Tidbits Whát then A Caribbéan storm, as wé know, always hás an excellent chancé to move intó the Gulf. This weekend, high pressure will be stationed to our northeast from Arkansas to the East Coast and that effectively blocks a storm from heading there. My concern is that it leaves the Texas and Louisiana coastlines vulnerable. Hurricanes always foIlow the path óf least resistance ánd were it. High Pressure tó our northeast Ieaves us vulnerable tó hurricanes So thosé disturbances are wáy out there, fór nów, but this is the time wé have to bé on guard. When can wé relax UsuaIly, by mid-0ctober, were in thé clear while thé season itself goés until Nov. And remember this: in 1983 we only had ONE major hurricane the whole season -- Alicia. Frank Email mé and follow mé on Facebook Cópyright 2020 by KPRC Click2Houston - All rights reserved. About the Authór: Frank BiIlingsley KPRC 2s chief meteorologist with three decades of experience forecasting Houstons weather. ![]()
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